In September we went past 1.5 degrees. In November, we tipped over 2 degrees for the first time. What’s going on?

Sun, 24 Dec 2023 20:04:51 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/in-september-we-went-past-1-5-degrees-in-november-we-tipped-over-2-degrees-for-the-first-time-whats-going-on-218228>

"In September, the world passed 1.5°C of warming. Two months later, we hit 2°C
of warming. It’s fair to wonder what is going on.

What we’re seeing is not runaway climate change. These are daily spikes, not
the long-term pattern we would need to say the world is now 2 degrees hotter
than it was in the pre-industrial period.

These first breaches of temperature limits are the loudest alarms yet. They
come as the United Nations Environment Program warns the world is still on a
path to a “hellish” 3°C of warming by the end of the century.

But they do not signal our failure. The sudden spike in warming in 2023 comes
from a combination of factors – climate change, a strong El Niño, sea ice
failing to reform after winter, reduced aerosol pollution and increased solar
activity. There are also minor factors such as the aftermath of the volcanic
eruption near Tonga."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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